What is ATS in Sports Betting?
Definition
ATS stands for against the spread, referring to a team's record when the point spread is factored in rather than just wins and losses. A team that is 8-4 ATS has covered the spread in 8 of 12 games, regardless of how many games they won outright. ATS records are the primary metric used to evaluate betting performance and identify profitable trends.
ATS Explained in Detail
A team's ATS record tells a completely different story than their straight-up record. A team can be 12-0 on the season but only 6-6 ATS if they consistently win by fewer points than the spread. Conversely, a 6-6 team can be 10-2 ATS if they consistently play closer games than the market expects.
ATS records are more useful for bettors than win-loss records because they account for the market's expectations. A team that wins every game but never covers the spread is not a profitable bet. The spread already prices in how much better one team is, so the ATS record measures whether the market is correctly assessing the gap between teams.
Bettors often look at ATS records in specific situations to find profitable trends. A team might be 2-8 ATS as a favorite but 7-3 ATS as an underdog. Or a team might be 9-1 ATS at home but 3-7 ATS on the road. These situational splits can reveal when the market is consistently mispricing a team.
It is important to remember that ATS records over small samples can be misleading. A team that is 4-0 ATS over four games might simply be running hot. Reliable ATS trends require larger sample sizes, typically 30 or more games, to be statistically meaningful. Even then, past ATS performance does not guarantee future results because line-setters adjust.
ATS Examples
The Dolphins are 10-3 straight up but only 6-7 ATS. Despite winning most of their games, they have not been a profitable bet against the spread because the market consistently sets their lines too high.
A handicapper notes that home underdogs in the NFL are 58-42 ATS over the last two seasons, suggesting value in backing teams getting points at home.
Related Terms
Against the Spread
Against the spread refers to betting on or evaluating the outcome of a game with the point spread ap...
Spread
The spread, also called the point spread, is a handicap set by oddsmakers to level the playing field...
Cover
To cover means to beat the point spread. A favorite covers by winning by more than the spread, while...
Closing Line Value
Closing line value, or CLV, measures whether a bettor consistently gets better odds than the final l...
ROI
ROI stands for return on investment, measuring the percentage profit or loss relative to the total a...
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