Question 1

What are NFL picks against the spread?

Accepted Answer

NFL picks against the spread (ATS) predict whether a team will cover the point spread set by oddsmakers. For example, if the Chiefs are -6.5, they need to win by 7 or more to cover. Our AI analyzes 200+ variables including quarterback efficiency, defensive metrics, and line movement to identify the best ATS opportunities each week.

Question 2

How does the AI make NFL spread picks?

Accepted Answer

The AI evaluates quarterback performance, offensive and defensive efficiency, red zone stats, third-down conversion rates, rest advantages, travel distance, weather conditions, injury reports, and historical ATS trends. It projects a margin of victory and compares it to the posted spread to find edges.

Question 3

How accurate are these NFL ATS picks?

Accepted Answer

ATS accuracy varies by confidence tier. LOCK tier NFL spread picks have the best cover rate over the season. Visit the accuracy dashboard for tier-by-tier ATS performance data. The NFL has the most parity of any sport, so high-confidence filtering is especially important.

Question 4

When are NFL spread picks posted?

Accepted Answer

NFL spread picks update as game lines are released each week. Thursday Night Football picks are available by Wednesday evening. The full Sunday slate and Monday Night Football picks are typically posted by Friday afternoon ET, refreshing every 5 minutes for the latest injury reports and line shifts.

Question 5

What is ATS in NFL betting?

Accepted Answer

ATS stands for 'against the spread.' Instead of picking which team wins outright, you're picking whether a team beats the point spread. A team that is -7 must win by more than 7 to cover ATS. A team at +7 covers if they lose by fewer than 7 or win outright. It's the most popular way to bet on NFL games.

Question 6

Should I bet every NFL spread pick shown here?

Accepted Answer

No. Focus on LOCK and STRONG tier spread picks where the AI has the highest confidence. The NFL has more parity than any other sport, so discipline matters. Lower-tier picks (LEAN, GUN TO HEAD) still show the AI's lean but carry more risk. Check the tier badge on each pick before deciding.

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