What is Futures in Sports Betting?
Definition
A futures bet is a wager on an event that will be decided in the future, typically at the end of a season or tournament. Common futures include betting on which team will win the championship, which player will win MVP, or how many wins a team will have during the season. Futures offer high payouts but tie up your money for weeks or months.
Futures Explained in Detail
Futures markets open well before a season starts and remain active throughout. You can bet on the Super Bowl winner before the season, during the season, and even during the playoffs, though the odds change dramatically as teams are eliminated and the field narrows.
The main appeal of futures is the potential for large payouts. Betting on a longshot team to win the championship before the season at +5000 means a $20 bet returns $1,000 if they win. Even moderate favorites at +600 or +800 offer attractive returns compared to single-game bets.
The tradeoff is that your money is locked up for a long time, and the house edge on futures is typically higher than on game-by-game bets. Sportsbooks build in a larger margin on futures because they are harder to set accurately and represent more risk for the book. The hold percentage on futures markets often exceeds 20%, compared to roughly 5% on standard game lines.
Savvy bettors use futures as part of a broader strategy. One common approach is to bet futures before the season when the odds are longest, then hedge as the season progresses if your team is still in contention. This locks in a guaranteed profit regardless of the final outcome. Another approach is to look for value after a team has a slow start but is still fundamentally strong.
Futures Examples
Before the NFL season, the 49ers are +800 to win the Super Bowl. A $50 bet returns $400 profit if San Francisco wins it all. As the season progresses and they go 10-2, their odds might shorten to +300.
Before March Madness, you bet $25 on UConn to win the tournament at +1200. If UConn wins the championship, you collect $300 profit.
Related Terms
Hedging
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Implied Probability
Implied probability is the conversion of betting odds into a percentage that represents the likeliho...
Juice
Juice is the commission that a sportsbook charges on every bet, built into the odds. Also called the...
Action
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